Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 6 Apr, 18:00
Atalanta
01 Full time
Lazio
Atalanta 0–1 Lazio

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 24%
Away 21%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1619 v 1542 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index WDWLL v DWDLD Atalanta 1.4 · Lazio 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1619 vs 1542).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaWDWLL1.4 ppg
LazioDWDLD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1619
Lazio1542
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 24% · 28%
Power Rating60% · 14% · 26%
Machine-learning52% · 30% · 18%

AI match preview

Atalanta hold a 55% probability of securing a home win against Lazio in this Serie A clash, with the model assigning a 63.9/100 confidence level to this outcome. The expected goals suggest a competitive fixture, projecting 1.98 for Atalanta and 1.48 for Lazio, while the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and 68% likelihood of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open, attacking game—but remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.48

Most likely score

1-1

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 67%

Under 33%

Both teams to score

Yes 68%

No 32%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Atalanta 0–1 Lazio
Dec 2024 Lazio 1–1 Atalanta