Roma vs Juventus Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 6 Apr, 20:45
Roma
11 Full time
Juventus
Roma 1–1 Juventus

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 31%
Away 30%

💡 Roma have a slight edge — leaning Roma, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1580 v 1586 Juventus rated higher
Form Index WWWWW v WWLLW Roma 3.0 · Juventus 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Roma v Juventus

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1580 vs 1586).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Juventus. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaWWWWW3.0 ppg
JuventusWWLLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1580
Juventus1586
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model45% · 29% · 26%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning32% · 41% · 27%

AI match preview

Roma and Juventus face off in a tightly contested Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a Roma win with a 40% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 31%. The expected goals suggest a moderately balanced encounter (1.51 for Roma vs. 1.10 for Juventus), with the most likely scoreline being 1-1. There is a 48% chance the match will see over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability both teams score, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.10

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Roma 1–1 Juventus
Sept 2024 Juventus 0–0 Roma