Bologna vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Mon 7 Apr, 20:45
Bologna
11 Full time
Napoli
Bologna 1–1 Napoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 33%
Away 31%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1591 v 1631 Napoli rated higher
Form Index WWWWW v LDWDW Bologna 3.0 · Napoli 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Napoli

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1591 vs 1631).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (3.0 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaWWWWW3.0 ppg
NapoliLDWDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1591
Napoli1631
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 31% · 32%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning29% · 46% · 25%

AI match preview

Bologna hosts Napoli in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a draw, with a 33% probability and a confidence level of 36.9 out of 100. The expected goals are close, at 1.27 for Bologna and 1.16 for Napoli, suggesting a tightly contested match likely to end 1-1. There’s a moderate chance for both teams to score (51%) and for the total goals to exceed 2.5 (44%), but remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.16

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Bologna 1–1 Napoli
Aug 2024 Napoli 3–0 Bologna