Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 13 Apr, 12:30
Atalanta
20 Full time
Bologna
Atalanta 2–0 Bologna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 23%
Away 27%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1604 v 1590 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index DWLLL v WWWWD Atalanta 0.8 · Bologna 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Bologna

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1604 vs 1590).
  • Bologna is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Bologna
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaDWLLL0.8 ppg
BolognaWWWWD2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1604
Bologna1590
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 25% · 28%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning54% · 12% · 34%

AI match preview

Atalanta hosts Bologna in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a 50% chance of victory, though a draw or away win remain plausible outcomes. The model projects a closely contested game with an expected goals tally favoring Atalanta 1.87 to 1.41, and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 64% probability for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams scoring, this match promises an engaging contest—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.87 – 1.41

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 64%

Under 36%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Atalanta 2–0 Bologna
Sept 2024 Bologna 1–1 Atalanta