Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 13 Apr, 15:00
Fiorentina
00 Full time
Parma
Fiorentina 0–0 Parma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (59%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 59%
Draw 24%
Away 17%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1561 v 1419 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index WLWWD v LDDDD Fiorentina 2.0 · Parma 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1419).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Parma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaWLWWD2.0 ppg
ParmaLDDDD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1561
Parma1419
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 24% · 13%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning60% · 30% · 11%

AI match preview

Fiorentina enters this Serie A clash with Parma as clear favorites, holding a 59% chance of victory according to model projections, with an expected 1.86 goals to Parma's 0.74. The most probable scoreline is a 2-0 home win, reflecting Fiorentina's offensive edge and defensive solidity. While under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring are slightly favored, these statistical insights should be viewed as probabilities, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.86 – 0.74

Most likely score

2-0

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Fiorentina 0–0 Parma
Aug 2024 Parma 1–1 Fiorentina