Monza vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 19 Apr, 18:00
Monza
01 Full time
Napoli
Monza 0–1 Napoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (74%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 10%
Draw 17%
Away 74%

💡 Napoli are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 89.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 89.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1319 v 1637 Napoli rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1637 vs 1319).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaLDLLL0.2 ppg
NapoliWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1319
Napoli1637
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model11% · 25% · 64%
Power Rating17% · 12% · 71%
Machine-learning3% · 7% · 90%

AI match preview

Napoli enter their Serie A clash at Monza as clear statistical favorites, with a 74% chance of an away win according to model projections. The expected goals suggest a tight game with Napoli edging it 1-0, while the low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (41%) and both teams scoring (38%) hint at a potentially cautious encounter. These insights are based on statistical models and should be considered probabilities rather than certainties; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.59 – 1.74

Most likely score

0-1

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Monza 0–1 Napoli
Sept 2024 Napoli 2–0 Monza