Roma vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 19 Apr, 20:45
Roma
10 Full time
Verona
Roma 1–0 Verona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 21%
Away 14%

💡 Roma are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 76.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 76.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1580 v 1414 Roma rated higher
Form Index WWWDD v LWDDD Roma 2.2 · Verona 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1580 vs 1414).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.3 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaWWWDD2.2 ppg
VeronaLWDDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1580
Verona1414
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 20% · 11%
Power Rating70% · 12% · 18%
Machine-learning67% · 22% · 10%

AI match preview

Roma look poised to leverage their home advantage against Verona, with a 65% probability of securing a win according to our model. The expected goals suggest a comfortable 2.28 to 0.83 edge, making a 2-0 scoreline the most probable outcome. While over 2.5 goals is favored at 60%, and both teams scoring is slightly more than a toss-up at 52%, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.28 – 0.83

Most likely score

2-0

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 60%

Under 40%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Roma 1–0 Verona
Nov 2024 Verona 3–2 Roma