Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Wed 23 Apr, 18:30
Cagliari
12 Full time
Fiorentina
Cagliari 1–2 Fiorentina

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (45%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 27%
Draw 28%
Away 45%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1430 v 1556 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index DLWDL v LWWDD Cagliari 1.0 · Fiorentina 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Cagliari v Fiorentina

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1556 vs 1430).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariDLWDL1.0 ppg
FiorentinaLWWDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1430
Fiorentina1556
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model22% · 27% · 52%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 46%
Machine-learning13% · 29% · 58%

AI match preview

Cagliari host Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 45% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw is slightly more probable than a home win. The expected goals suggest Fiorentina may edge the scoring with 1.72 expected goals to Cagliari's 1.05, yet the most likely scoreline remains a balanced 1-1 draw. With just over half the simulations favoring both teams to score and the match going over 2.5 goals, this encounter could offer a competitive and open contest; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.05 – 1.72

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Cagliari 1–2 Fiorentina
Dec 2024 Fiorentina 1–0 Cagliari