Genoa vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Wed 23 Apr, 18:30
Genoa
02 Full time
Lazio
Genoa 0–2 Lazio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 31%
Away 44%

💡 Lazio have a slight edge — leaning Lazio, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1477 v 1556 Lazio rated higher
Form Index DWLWD v DLDWD Genoa 1.6 · Lazio 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1556 vs 1477).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaDWLWD1.6 ppg
LazioDLDWD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1477
Lazio1556
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 31% · 39%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning11% · 38% · 51%

AI match preview

Genoa host Lazio in a Serie A clash where the away side holds a 44% chance of victory, with a moderate confidence level of 47/100. The model suggests a closely contested encounter, projecting a most likely 1-1 draw and a balanced goal expectation around 1.13 to 1.32 per team. With just over half the matches seeing both teams scoring and under a 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, this game could hinge on fine margins. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.32

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Genoa 0–2 Lazio
Oct 2024 Lazio 3–0 Genoa