Fiorentina vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 27 Apr, 15:00
Fiorentina
21 Full time
Empoli
Fiorentina 2–1 Empoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (56%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 56%
Draw 26%
Away 18%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 56 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1565 v 1377 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index 2.2 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1565 vs 1377).
  • Fiorentina is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaWWDDW2.2 ppg
EmpoliLDDLD0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1565
Empoli1377
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model61% · 24% · 15%
Power Rating71% · 12% · 17%
Machine-learning66% · 28% · 5%

AI match preview

Fiorentina enter this Serie A clash with a 56% chance of securing a home win, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.96 to 0.87 over Empoli. Despite the home side's edge, the model suggests a closely contested match, with a 26% draw probability and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring each holding just over a 50% chance, fans can anticipate a competitive encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.96 – 0.87

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Fiorentina 2–1 Empoli
Sept 2024 Empoli 0–0 Fiorentina