Lazio vs Parma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Mon 28 Apr, 20:45
Lazio
22 Full time
Parma
Lazio 2–2 Parma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (67%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 67%
Draw 19%
Away 14%

💡 Lazio are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 81.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 81.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1572 v 1439 Lazio rated higher
Form Index LDWDW v DDDDW Lazio 1.6 · Parma 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lazio v Parma

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1572 vs 1439).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Parma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioLDWDW1.6 ppg
ParmaDDDDW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1572
Parma1439
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 24% · 17%
Power Rating67% · 12% · 21%
Machine-learning70% · 19% · 11%

AI match preview

Lazio are favored to secure a win against Parma with a 67% probability, backed by an expected goal tally nearly double that of their opponents (1.97 to 0.98). Despite this, the model suggests a most likely scoreline of 1-1, highlighting the potential for a closely contested match. With over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 55%, fans can anticipate an engaging encounter, though these projections are statistical estimates and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.97 – 0.98

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Lazio 2–2 Parma
Dec 2024 Parma 3–1 Lazio