Verona vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Mon 28 Apr, 20:45
Verona
02 Full time
Cagliari
Verona 0–2 Cagliari

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (34%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 34%
Away 30%

💡 Our model leans towards a draw (34%) — expect a tight one.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1410 v 1421 Cagliari rated higher
Form Index WDDDL v LWDLL Verona 1.2 · Cagliari 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Verona v Cagliari

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1410 vs 1421).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Cagliari
Form Index
Verona
Goal expectation
Cagliari
Home advantage
Verona

Green = favours Verona · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VeronaWDDDL1.2 ppg
CagliariLWDLL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Verona1410
Cagliari1421
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 31% · 45%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning27% · 48% · 25%

AI match preview

Verona and Cagliari are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 34% probability and a modest 37/100 confidence level. Expected goals suggest a tight match with Cagliari marginally favored to score more (1.37 vs. 0.95), pointing to a most likely 1-1 scoreline. With under 2.5 goals (59%) and both teams not guaranteed to score (53%), this game could hinge on fine margins—remember these are statistical projections, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.37

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2025 Verona 0–2 Cagliari
Nov 2024 Cagliari 1–0 Verona