Cagliari vs Udinese Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 3 May, 15:00
Cagliari
12 Full time
Udinese
Cagliari 1–2 Udinese

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (33%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 33%
Away 30%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1440 v 1439 Cagliari rated higher
Form Index WDLLW v LLLLD Cagliari 1.4 · Udinese 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Cagliari v Udinese

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1440 vs 1439).
  • Cagliari is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Cagliari
Goal expectation
Cagliari
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Udinese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariWDLLW1.4 ppg
UdineseLLLLD0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1440
Udinese1439
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 30% · 34%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning28% · 49% · 23%

AI match preview

Cagliari and Udinese are projected to play out a tight Serie A clash with a 33% probability of a draw, making a stalemate the most likely outcome at 1-1 based on expected goals of 1.35 and 1.27 respectively. The match shows a balanced edge with a 37% chance for a home win and 30% for an away victory, while both teams scoring is slightly favored at 55%. With a near 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, this encounter could offer goal-scoring opportunities, but all projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.27

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Cagliari 1–2 Udinese
Oct 2024 Udinese 2–0 Cagliari