Lecce vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 3 May, 18:00
Lecce
01 Full time
Napoli
Lecce 0–1 Napoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (70%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 12%
Draw 19%
Away 70%

💡 Napoli are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 83.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 83.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1375 v 1649 Napoli rated higher
Form Index LDLLD v WDWWW Lecce 0.4 · Napoli 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Napoli

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1649 vs 1375).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceLDLLD0.4 ppg
NapoliWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1375
Napoli1649
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model7% · 20% · 72%
Power Rating20% · 12% · 68%
Machine-learning3% · 11% · 85%

AI match preview

Napoli are strong favorites to claim victory at Lecce, with a 70% chance according to the model and an expected scoreline of 0-2. The away side is projected to score over two goals on average, while Lecce is expected to struggle offensively with just 0.54 expected goals. With under a 50% probability for over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 38%, this match may feature a controlled Napoli performance rather than a high-scoring thriller. Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.54 – 2.07

Most likely score

0-2

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Lecce 0–1 Napoli
Oct 2024 Napoli 1–0 Lecce