Empoli vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 4 May, 12:30
Empoli
01 Full time
Lazio
Empoli 0–1 Lazio

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (58%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 18%
Draw 24%
Away 58%

💡 Lazio are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 68.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 68.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1373 v 1566 Lazio rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Empoli v Lazio

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Why we predict this

  • Lazio is the stronger side on Power Rating (1566 vs 1373).
  • Lazio is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Lazio
Form Index
Lazio
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Lazio. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliDDLDL0.6 ppg
LazioDWDWD1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1373
Lazio1566
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model11% · 27% · 63%
Power Rating27% · 15% · 57%
Machine-learning5% · 20% · 75%

AI match preview

Empoli faces a tough challenge at home against Lazio, who hold a 58% chance of securing the win according to the model, with a predicted scoreline of 0-1. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with Lazio favored to net 1.61 goals compared to Empoli's 0.54. With only a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, this match could hinge on a single decisive moment—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.54 – 1.61

Most likely score

0-1

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Empoli 0–1 Lazio
Oct 2024 Lazio 2–1 Empoli