Monza vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 4 May, 15:00
Monza
04 Full time
Atalanta
Monza 0–4 Atalanta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (78%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 8%
Draw 14%
Away 78%

💡 Atalanta are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1310 v 1620 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index 0 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1620 vs 1310).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (1.4 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaLLLLL0 ppg
AtalantaLLWWD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1310
Atalanta1620
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model5% · 18% · 77%
Power Rating17% · 12% · 71%
Machine-learning2% · 15% · 84%

AI match preview

Monza face a tough challenge at home against Atalanta, with the model giving the visitors a strong 78% chance of victory and a high confidence level of 95/100. The expected goals heavily favor Atalanta (2.23) over Monza (0.45), suggesting a likely 0-2 scoreline, although a draw or home win remain possible. With a 50% probability for over 2.5 goals and only 33% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate a match leaning towards an away win but should remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.45 – 2.23

Most likely score

0-2

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 33%

No 67%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Monza 0–4 Atalanta
Oct 2024 Atalanta 2–0 Monza