Genoa vs Milan Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Mon 5 May, 20:45
Genoa
12 Full time
Milan
Genoa 1–2 Milan

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 26%
Away 52%

💡 Milan are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1555 Milan rated higher
Form Index LWDLL v LDWLW Genoa 0.8 · Milan 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Milan

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Milan is the stronger side on Power Rating (1555 vs 1454).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Milan
Form Index
Milan
Goal expectation
Milan
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Milan. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaLWDLL0.8 ppg
MilanLDWLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1454
Milan1555
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 28% · 46%
Power Rating34% · 24% · 42%
Machine-learning11% · 28% · 62%

AI match preview

Genoa host Milan in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 52% chance of victory, though a draw at 26% remains a strong possibility. The model suggests a closely contested match with an expected goals tally of 1.12 for Genoa and 1.56 for Milan, making a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.56

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Genoa 1–2 Milan
Dec 2024 Milan 0–0 Genoa