Milan vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Fri 9 May, 20:45
Milan
31 Full time
Bologna
Milan 3–1 Bologna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 28%
Away 29%

💡 Milan have a slight edge — leaning Milan, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1565 v 1584 Bologna rated higher
Form Index DWLWW v DLWDD Milan 2.0 · Bologna 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Milan v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1565 vs 1584).
  • Milan is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Milan
Goal expectation
Milan
Home advantage
Milan

Green = favours Milan · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MilanDWLWW2.0 ppg
BolognaDLWDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Milan1565
Bologna1584
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 30% · 23%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning37% · 32% · 31%

AI match preview

Milan host Bologna in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 43% chance of victory, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 28%. The model projects a tight contest with an expected goals tally favoring Milan 1.48 to 0.95, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring each near 50%, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

San Siro Milan, Italy Capacity 75,923 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Milan 3–1 Bologna
Feb 2025 Bologna 2–1 Milan