Empoli vs Parma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 10 May, 20:45
Empoli
21 Full time
Parma
Empoli 2–1 Parma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (31%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 31%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1366 v 1433 Parma rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Empoli v Parma

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Why we predict this

  • Parma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1433 vs 1366).
  • Parma is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Parma
Form Index
Parma
Goal expectation
Parma
Home advantage
Empoli

Green = favours Empoli · Blue = favours Parma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EmpoliDLDLL0.4 ppg
ParmaDDWDL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Empoli1366
Parma1433
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 37% · 43%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning18% · 30% · 52%

AI match preview

Empoli hosts Parma in a tightly contested Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 36%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with 31% confidence. Both teams are projected to score modestly, with expected goals of 0.62 for Empoli and 1.03 for Parma, and the most likely scoreline is a goalless draw. With just a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score, this match could be a cautious affair; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.62 – 1.03

Most likely score

0-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 23%

Under 77%

Both teams to score

Yes 31%

No 69%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Empoli 2–1 Parma
Oct 2024 Parma 1–1 Empoli