Udinese vs Monza Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 11 May, 12:30
Udinese
12 Full time
Monza
Udinese 1–2 Monza

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 23%
Away 17%

💡 Udinese are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 70.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 70.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1452 v 1302 Udinese rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 0 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Udinese v Monza

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Why we predict this

  • Udinese is the stronger side on Power Rating (1452 vs 1302).
  • Udinese is in clearly better recent form (0.8 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Udinese
Form Index
Monza
Goal expectation
Udinese
Home advantage
Udinese

Green = favours Udinese · Blue = favours Monza. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UdineseLLLDW0.8 ppg
MonzaLLLLL0 ppg
Power Rating
Udinese1452
Monza1302
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model55% · 27% · 18%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning59% · 31% · 10%

AI match preview

Udinese enter this Serie A clash with a 60% chance of securing a home victory against Monza, backed by an expected goals tally of 1.69 compared to Monza’s 0.88. Despite the home advantage, the most likely scoreline is a tight 1-1 draw, reflecting a closely contested match with a 49% probability of both teams scoring. With under 50% likelihood for over 2.5 goals, fans should anticipate a competitive, potentially low-scoring game; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.69 – 0.88

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Udinese 1–2 Monza
Dec 2024 Monza 1–2 Udinese