Verona vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 11 May, 15:00
Verona
11 Full time
Lecce
Verona 1–1 Lecce

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 32%
Away 30%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 40.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1388 v 1370 Verona rated higher
Form Index DDLLL v DLLDL Verona 0.4 · Lecce 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Verona v Lecce

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1388 vs 1370).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Verona
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Lecce
Home advantage
Verona

Green = favours Verona · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VeronaDDLLL0.4 ppg
LecceDLLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Verona1388
Lecce1370
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model27% · 32% · 41%
Power Rating50% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning38% · 40% · 23%

AI match preview

Verona and Lecce are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 32% probability and a confidence level of 40/100. The expected goals suggest a tight game with 0.96 for Verona and 1.22 for Lecce, making a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. With only a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% probability of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.22

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Verona 1–1 Lecce
Oct 2024 Lecce 1–0 Verona