Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Mon 12 May, 18:30
Venezia
21 Full time
Fiorentina
Venezia 2–1 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 28%
Draw 28%
Away 44%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 49.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1402 v 1561 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Fiorentina is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1402).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Fiorentina
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Venezia

Green = favours Venezia · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
VeneziaDWDLD1.2 ppg
FiorentinaDDWWL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Venezia1402
Fiorentina1561
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 33% · 47%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 52%
Machine-learning9% · 24% · 67%

AI match preview

Venezia hosts Fiorentina in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 44% chance of victory, according to model projections, while a draw or home win are both pegged at 28%. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with Fiorentina slightly favored to edge a 1-0 win. With just a 32% probability for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate a cautious affair; remember these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.73 – 1.24

Most likely score

0-1

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 32%

Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Venezia 2–1 Fiorentina
Aug 2024 Fiorentina 0–0 Venezia