Atalanta vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Mon 12 May, 20:45
Atalanta
21 Full time
Roma
Atalanta 2–1 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 25%
Away 25%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 56.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 56.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1628 v 1608 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index LWWDW v DDWWW Atalanta 2.0 · Roma 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1628 vs 1608).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaLWWDW2.0 ppg
RomaDDWWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1628
Roma1608
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 29% · 23%
Power Rating50% · 19% · 31%
Machine-learning59% · 20% · 21%

AI match preview

Atalanta hosts Roma in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 49% chance of victory, according to model projections. Both teams are expected to produce a tight contest, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1 and a nearly even chance of both sides scoring at 49%. While the probability of over 2.5 goals sits at 44%, these statistical insights suggest a balanced encounter—remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.49 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Atalanta 2–1 Roma
Dec 2024 Roma 0–2 Atalanta