Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sat 17 May, 20:45
Genoa
23 Full time
Atalanta
Genoa 2–3 Atalanta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (55%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 22%
Draw 23%
Away 55%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1451 v 1636 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index DLLLD v WWDWW Genoa 0.4 · Atalanta 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1636 vs 1451).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaDLLLD0.4 ppg
AtalantaWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1451
Atalanta1636
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model8% · 21% · 71%
Power Rating28% · 16% · 56%
Machine-learning4% · 17% · 80%

AI match preview

Genoa host Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a strong statistical edge with a 55% chance of victory, reflecting their superior expected goals tally of 2.06 compared to Genoa’s 0.59. The model favors a 0-2 scoreline, suggesting Atalanta’s attack could be decisive while Genoa may struggle to score. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring being the more probable outcomes, fans should keep in mind these projections are based on probabilities—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.59 – 2.06

Most likely score

0-2

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Genoa 2–3 Atalanta
Oct 2024 Atalanta 5–1 Genoa