Cagliari vs Venezia Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 18 May, 20:45
Cagliari
30 Full time
Venezia
Cagliari 3–0 Venezia

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 27%
Away 32%

💡 Cagliari have a slight edge — leaning Cagliari, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1417 v 1416 Cagliari rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1417 vs 1416).
  • Venezia is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Venezia
Goal expectation
Cagliari
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Venezia. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariLLWLL0.6 ppg
VeneziaWDLDW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1417
Venezia1416
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model44% · 29% · 27%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning48% · 18% · 35%

AI match preview

Cagliari host Venezia in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 40%, though a draw or an away victory remain plausible outcomes. The expected goals suggest a tight contest (1.49 vs. 1.11), with 1-1 emerging as the most likely scoreline, supported by a 53% probability for both teams to score. With under 2.5 goals slightly favored (52%), this matchup could hinge on fine margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and not certainties; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.11

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Cagliari 3–0 Venezia
Dec 2024 Venezia 2–1 Cagliari