Fiorentina vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 18 May, 20:45
Fiorentina
32 Full time
Bologna
Fiorentina 3–2 Bologna

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 28%
Away 34%

💡 Fiorentina have a slight edge — leaning Fiorentina, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1547 v 1570 Bologna rated higher
Form Index DWWLL v LWDDL Fiorentina 1.4 · Bologna 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1547 vs 1570).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaDWWLL1.4 ppg
BolognaLWDDL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1547
Bologna1570
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 27% · 20%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning37% · 25% · 39%

AI match preview

Fiorentina host Bologna in a tightly poised Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 38%, though a draw and away victory remain close possibilities. Expected goals suggest Fiorentina may edge chances with 1.68 expected goals to Bologna's 0.95, yet the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1 draw. With just under a 50% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 51% probability for both teams to score, this match promises competitive action; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.68 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Fiorentina 3–2 Bologna
Dec 2024 Bologna 1–0 Fiorentina