Monza vs Empoli Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 18 May, 20:45
Monza
13 Full time
Empoli
Monza 1–3 Empoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 24%
Draw 29%
Away 47%

💡 Empoli are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 52.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1319 v 1377 Empoli rated higher
Form Index 0.6 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Empoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1377 vs 1319).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Empoli
Form Index
Empoli
Goal expectation
Empoli
Home advantage
Monza

Green = favours Monza · Blue = favours Empoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MonzaLLLLW0.6 ppg
EmpoliLDLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Monza1319
Empoli1377
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 30% · 45%
Power Rating38% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning24% · 37% · 38%

AI match preview

Monza host Empoli in a Serie A clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 47%, though a draw remains the most probable single outcome at 29%. The expected goals suggest a competitive match with Empoli edging chances (1.41 to 0.97), and a 1-1 scoreline emerges as the most likely result. With under 2.5 goals and a near 50% chance of both teams scoring, this game could be finely balanced—remember, these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.97 – 1.41

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Monza 1–3 Empoli
Aug 2024 Empoli 0–0 Monza