Parma vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 18 May, 20:45
Parma
00 Full time
Napoli
Parma 0–0 Napoli

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (65%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 15%
Draw 20%
Away 65%

💡 Napoli are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 78.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 78.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1422 v 1647 Napoli rated higher
Form Index DWDLL v WWWWD Parma 1.0 · Napoli 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Parma v Napoli

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1647 vs 1422).
  • Napoli is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.8 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Napoli
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Parma

Green = favours Parma · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ParmaDWDLL1.0 ppg
NapoliWWWWD2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Parma1422
Napoli1647
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model17% · 26% · 58%
Power Rating25% · 13% · 63%
Machine-learning8% · 14% · 78%

AI match preview

Napoli enters their Serie A clash at Parma as clear favorites with a 65% chance of victory, backed by an expected 1.82 goals compared to Parma's 0.88. Despite the away win probability, the model suggests a closely contested game with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 and a balanced 51% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. These projections highlight Napoli's edge but also the potential for Parma to hold firm, so fans should enjoy the match with an understanding of the inherent uncertainties—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.82

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Unlock advanced player analysis

You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Parma 0–0 Napoli
Aug 2024 Napoli 2–1 Parma