Atalanta vs Parma Prediction

Serie A 24/25 · Sun 25 May, 20:45
Atalanta
23 Full time
Parma
Atalanta 2–3 Parma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 23%
Away 17%

💡 Atalanta are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1644 v 1427 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index WDWWW v WDLLD Atalanta 2.6 · Parma 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1644 vs 1427).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Parma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaWDWWW2.6 ppg
ParmaWDLLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1644
Parma1427
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model63% · 23% · 14%
Power Rating74% · 12% · 14%
Machine-learning73% · 23% · 3%

AI match preview

Atalanta enter this Serie A clash with a 61% probability of securing a home victory against Parma, supported by an expected goals advantage of 2.06 to 0.91. The model suggests a 2-0 scoreline as the most likely outcome, with a moderate 57% chance of the match seeing over 2.5 goals and a 53% likelihood of both teams scoring. These projections provide a statistical framework for the game, but remember to gamble responsibly and only bet if you are 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.06 – 0.91

Most likely score

2-0

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 57%

Under 43%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2025 Atalanta 2–3 Parma
Nov 2024 Parma 1–3 Atalanta