Lecce vs Parma Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 11 Jan, 11:30
Lecce
12 Full time
Parma
Lecce 1–2 Parma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 32%
Away 33%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 35.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 35.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1428 v 1445 Parma rated higher
Form Index LWLDL v WLWDL Lecce 0.8 · Parma 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1428 vs 1445).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Parma
Form Index
Parma
Goal expectation
Parma
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Parma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceLWLDL0.8 ppg
ParmaWLWDL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1428
Parma1445
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 40% · 36%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning39% · 32% · 29%

AI match preview

Lecce and Parma are set for a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to a draw at 32%, reflecting a close contest. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair, with 0-0 as the most probable outcome and only a 19% chance of over 2.5 goals. Both teams may struggle to find the net, as indicated by a 29% probability of both teams scoring; these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.65 – 0.84

Most likely score

0-0

24% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 19%

Under 81%

Both teams to score

Yes 29%

No 71%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Lecce 1–2 Parma
Oct 2025 Parma 0–1 Lecce