Pisa vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Fri 16 Jan, 19:45
Pisa
11 Full time
Atalanta
Pisa 1–1 Atalanta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (57%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 19%
Draw 24%
Away 57%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1414 v 1533 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index DLDLD v WLWWW Pisa 0.6 · Atalanta 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1533 vs 1414).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.1 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Pisa

Green = favours Pisa · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PisaDLDLD0.6 ppg
AtalantaWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Pisa1414
Atalanta1533
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model10% · 36% · 54%
Power Rating33% · 22% · 45%
Machine-learning25% · 16% · 59%

AI match preview

Pisa hosts Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a clear statistical edge with a 57% chance of an away win and an expected goals tally of 1.09 compared to Pisa's 0.33. Despite this, the model surprisingly forecasts a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline, reflecting a tight contest with low scoring probabilities, including just a 17% chance of over 2.5 goals. Fans should note these are probabilistic projections and to enjoy the game responsibly, keeping gambling age restrictions in mind (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.33 – 1.09

Most likely score

0-0

25% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 17%

Under 83%

Both teams to score

Yes 20%

No 80%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Pisa 1–1 Atalanta
Aug 2025 Atalanta 1–1 Pisa