Fiorentina vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sat 24 Jan, 17:00
Fiorentina
12 Full time
Cagliari
Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 26%
Away 26%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 52.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 52.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1449 v 1456 Cagliari rated higher
Form Index LWDDW v WLDLW Fiorentina 1.6 · Cagliari 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1449 vs 1456).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaLWDDW1.6 ppg
CagliariWLDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1449
Cagliari1456
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 27% · 29%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning36% · 29% · 35%

AI match preview

Fiorentina and Cagliari face off in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 47% chance of victory, while a draw or away win each stand at 26%. The model predicts a closely contested match with expected goals of 1.62 for Fiorentina and 1.30 for Cagliari, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.62 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari
Aug 2025 Cagliari 1–1 Fiorentina