Atalanta vs Parma Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 25 Jan, 14:00
Atalanta
40 Full time
Parma
Atalanta 4–0 Parma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (61%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 61%
Draw 24%
Away 15%

💡 Atalanta are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1531 v 1461 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index LWWWD v DLWDD Atalanta 2.0 · Parma 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Parma

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1531 vs 1461).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Parma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaLWWWD2.0 ppg
ParmaDLWDD1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1531
Parma1461
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 37% · 21%
Power Rating58% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning54% · 35% · 11%

AI match preview

Atalanta enters this Serie A clash against Parma with a 61% model-predicted chance of securing a home win, supported by a confidence level of 71.4/100. Despite Atalanta's edge in expected goals (0.99 to 0.63), the most likely scoreline is a cautious 0-0 draw, reflecting a tight contest. With low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (22%) and both teams scoring (31%), fans can anticipate a tactical battle; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 0.63

Most likely score

0-0

21% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 22%

Under 78%

Both teams to score

Yes 31%

No 69%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Atalanta 4–0 Parma
Aug 2025 Parma 1–1 Atalanta