Genoa vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 25 Jan, 14:00
Genoa
32 Full time
Bologna
Genoa 3–2 Bologna

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 28%
Away 42%

💡 Bologna have a slight edge — leaning Bologna, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 45.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1507 Bologna rated higher
Form Index LDDWD v LLDWL Genoa 1.2 · Bologna 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Bologna

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1507 vs 1456).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Genoa
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Bologna. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaLDDWD1.2 ppg
BolognaLLDWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1456
Bologna1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model20% · 28% · 52%
Power Rating39% · 26% · 36%
Machine-learning35% · 16% · 49%

AI match preview

Genoa host Bologna in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 42% chance of victory, slightly edging the home side at 30%. Despite Bologna’s higher expected goals (1.60 vs. 0.93), the model projects a balanced 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline, with a 50% probability of both teams scoring. Over 2.5 goals looks less likely at 46%, suggesting a moderately contested match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.60

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Genoa 3–2 Bologna
Sept 2025 Bologna 2–1 Genoa