Roma vs Milan Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 25 Jan, 19:45
Roma
11 Full time
Milan
Roma 1–1 Milan

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 29%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 35.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 35.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1581 v 1617 Milan rated higher
Form Index WLWWW v WDDWW Roma 2.4 · Milan 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1581 vs 1617).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Milan
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Milan. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaWLWWW2.4 ppg
MilanWDDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1581
Milan1617
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 37% · 33%
Power Rating41% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning33% · 18% · 49%

AI match preview

Roma and Milan are set for a tightly contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Milan at 36% compared to Roma’s 35%, while a draw holds a 29% probability. Both sides are projected to produce a low-scoring affair, with expected goals of 0.84 and 0.90 respectively, making a 0-0 stalemate the most likely outcome. With only a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and 35% probability for both teams to score, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.84 – 0.90

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Roma 1–1 Milan
Nov 2025 Milan 1–0 Roma