Genoa vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sat 7 Feb, 17:00
Genoa
23 Full time
Napoli
Genoa 2–3 Napoli

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (49%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 25%
Draw 26%
Away 49%

💡 Napoli are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 55.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1458 v 1584 Napoli rated higher
Form Index DWDWL v DDWLW Genoa 1.6 · Napoli 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Genoa v Napoli

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Why we predict this

  • Napoli is the stronger side on Power Rating (1584 vs 1458).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Genoa

Green = favours Genoa · Blue = favours Napoli. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
GenoaDWDWL1.6 ppg
NapoliDDWLW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Genoa1458
Napoli1584
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model24% · 32% · 44%
Power Rating32% · 22% · 46%
Machine-learning26% · 8% · 66%

AI match preview

Genoa host Napoli in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 49% chance of victory according to model projections, though a draw is nearly as likely at 26%. With expected goals at 0.88 for Genoa and 1.26 for Napoli, a 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable scoreline, highlighting a closely contested match. While the odds favor Napoli, the relatively low probabilities for over 2.5 goals (36%) and both teams to score (44%) suggest a tight game; remember these are statistical forecasts and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.26

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 44%

No 56%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Genoa 2–3 Napoli
Oct 2025 Napoli 2–1 Genoa