Bologna vs Parma Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 8 Feb, 11:30
Bologna
01 Full time
Parma
Bologna 0–1 Parma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 26%
Away 19%

💡 Bologna are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1480 v 1433 Bologna rated higher
Form Index DWLLL v WDDLL Bologna 0.8 · Parma 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bologna v Parma

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Why we predict this

  • Bologna is the stronger side on Power Rating (1480 vs 1433).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bologna
Form Index
Parma
Goal expectation
Bologna
Home advantage
Bologna

Green = favours Bologna · Blue = favours Parma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BolognaDWLLL0.8 ppg
ParmaWDDLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Bologna1480
Parma1433
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 35% · 24%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning59% · 33% · 8%

AI match preview

Bologna hold a 55% probability of securing a home win against Parma, with the model assigning a 62.6/100 confidence level to this outcome. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, with Bologna at 1.07 and Parma at 0.76, while the most likely score remains 0-0, highlighting a potentially cautious encounter. With only a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, this match could lean towards a low-scoring affair; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.07 – 0.76

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Bologna, Italy Capacity 36,462 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Bologna 0–1 Parma
Nov 2025 Parma 1–3 Bologna