Roma vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Mon 9 Feb, 19:45
Roma
20 Full time
Cagliari
Roma 2–0 Cagliari

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 27%
Away 16%

💡 Roma are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 65.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 65.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1567 v 1481 Roma rated higher
Form Index WWWDL v DLWWW Roma 2.0 · Cagliari 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1567 vs 1481).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Cagliari. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaWWWDL2.0 ppg
CagliariDLWWW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1567
Cagliari1481
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 30% · 15%
Power Rating61% · 13% · 26%
Machine-learning32% · 52% · 16%

AI match preview

Roma enter their Serie A clash with Cagliari as clear favorites, holding a 57% probability of a home win, with the model projecting a narrow 1-0 victory based on expected goals of 1.46 to 0.64. The likelihood of a draw stands at 27%, while an away win for Cagliari is less probable at 16%. With only a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, this match may lean towards a tight contest—remember, these are statistical projections, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.46 – 0.64

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Roma 2–0 Cagliari
Dec 2025 Cagliari 1–0 Roma