Como vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sat 14 Feb, 14:00
Como
12 Full time
Fiorentina
Como 1–2 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (57%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 57%
Draw 28%
Away 15%

💡 Como are favourites — about 57 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 64.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 64.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1589 v 1430 Como rated higher
Form Index DLWWD v DWLLD Como 1.6 · Fiorentina 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Como v Fiorentina

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Why we predict this

  • Como is the stronger side on Power Rating (1589 vs 1430).
  • Como is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Como
Form Index
Como
Goal expectation
Como
Home advantage
Como

Green = favours Como · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ComoDLWWD1.6 ppg
FiorentinaDWLLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Como1589
Fiorentina1430
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model69% · 23% · 9%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning34% · 60% · 6%

AI match preview

Como enter this Serie A clash against Fiorentina as clear favorites, with a 57% chance of securing a home win and a projected 2-0 scoreline reflecting their expected dominance. The model suggests a low-scoring affair, with just a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and only a 37% chance both teams will find the net. These projections highlight Como’s defensive edge, but as always, outcomes can vary—please enjoy responsibly and remember to gamble within your limits (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.90 – 0.55

Most likely score

2-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Como 1–2 Fiorentina
Sept 2025 Fiorentina 1–2 Como