Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sat 14 Feb, 17:00
Lazio
02 Full time
Atalanta
Lazio 0–2 Atalanta

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 32%
Draw 28%
Away 40%

💡 Atalanta have a slight edge — leaning Atalanta, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1506 v 1554 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index WLDWD v WDWDW Lazio 1.6 · Atalanta 2.2 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lazio v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1554 vs 1506).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Lazio
Home advantage
Lazio

Green = favours Lazio · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LazioWLDWD1.6 ppg
AtalantaWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lazio1506
Atalanta1554
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 32% · 32%
Power Rating39% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning29% · 23% · 48%

AI match preview

Lazio and Atalanta are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 40% probability, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 28%. The expected goals are nearly even, suggesting a tight match likely to produce around two goals, with a 49% chance both teams will score. Keep in mind these projections are based on statistical models and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.11

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Lazio 0–2 Atalanta
Oct 2025 Atalanta 0–0 Lazio