Napoli vs Roma Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 15 Feb, 19:45
Napoli
22 Full time
Roma
Napoli 2–2 Roma

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Draw (32%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 32%
Away 28%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 42.3/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.3
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1594 v 1577 Napoli rated higher
Form Index DWLWW v WWDLW Napoli 2.0 · Roma 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Napoli v Roma

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1594 vs 1577).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Napoli
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Napoli
Home advantage
Napoli

Green = favours Napoli · Blue = favours Roma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NapoliDWLWW2.0 ppg
RomaWWDLW2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Napoli1594
Roma1577
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 36% · 27%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning39% · 38% · 23%

AI match preview

Napoli host Roma in a Serie A clash where the model suggests a tight contest, with a draw the most likely outcome at 32% probability. Expected goals favor Napoli slightly (1.02 to 0.84), but the most probable scoreline is a goalless 0-0 stalemate. With only a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, this game may be a cautious affair; remember these are statistical projections and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.02 – 0.84

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 38%

No 62%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Naples, Italy Capacity 54,726 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Napoli 2–2 Roma
Nov 2025 Roma 0–1 Napoli