Cagliari vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Mon 16 Feb, 19:45
Cagliari
02 Full time
Lecce
Cagliari 0–2 Lecce

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 30%
Away 24%

💡 Cagliari are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 50.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 50.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1471 v 1412 Cagliari rated higher
Form Index LWWWL v LLDLW Cagliari 1.8 · Lecce 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Cagliari v Lecce

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Why we predict this

  • Cagliari is the stronger side on Power Rating (1471 vs 1412).
  • Cagliari is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Cagliari
Form Index
Cagliari
Goal expectation
Cagliari
Home advantage
Cagliari

Green = favours Cagliari · Blue = favours Lecce. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
CagliariLWWWL1.8 ppg
LecceLLDLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Cagliari1471
Lecce1412
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model54% · 30% · 16%
Power Rating57% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning46% · 38% · 17%

AI match preview

Cagliari holds a 46% chance of securing a home victory against Lecce, with the model suggesting a closely contested match likely to end 1-0. The expected goals favor Cagliari at 1.42 compared to Lecce's 0.68, indicating a probable edge for the hosts. With only a 35% probability for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, this encounter may lean towards a tight, low-scoring affair. Remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 0.68

Most likely score

1-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 35%

Under 65%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Cagliari 0–2 Lecce
Sept 2025 Lecce 1–2 Cagliari