Sassuolo vs Verona Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Fri 20 Feb, 19:45
Sassuolo
30 Full time
Verona
Sassuolo 3–0 Verona

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (53%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 53%
Draw 28%
Away 19%

💡 Sassuolo are favourites — about 53 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1370 Sassuolo rated higher
Form Index LWWLW v DLLDL Sassuolo 1.8 · Verona 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Sassuolo is the stronger side on Power Rating (1485 vs 1370).
  • Sassuolo is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sassuolo
Form Index
Sassuolo
Goal expectation
Sassuolo
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Verona. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloLWWLW1.8 ppg
VeronaDLLDL0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1485
Verona1370
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model47% · 30% · 23%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning45% · 45% · 10%

AI match preview

Sassuolo holds a 53% probability of securing a home win against Verona in this Serie A clash, with the model showing moderate confidence at 60.1/100. The expected goals suggest a closely contested match, with Sassuolo favored to score 1.44 goals to Verona’s 0.93, although the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring being slightly more probable, this game could be tight and competitive—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 0.93

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Sassuolo 3–0 Verona
Oct 2025 Verona 0–1 Sassuolo