Roma vs Cremonese Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 22 Feb, 19:45
Roma
30 Full time
Cremonese
Roma 3–0 Cremonese

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (64%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 64%
Draw 25%
Away 11%

💡 Roma are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 75.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 75.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1580 v 1432 Roma rated higher
Form Index WDLWD v DLLLD Roma 1.6 · Cremonese 0.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Roma is the stronger side on Power Rating (1580 vs 1432).
  • Roma is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Cremonese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaWDLWD1.6 ppg
CremoneseDLLLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1580
Cremonese1432
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model60% · 30% · 11%
Power Rating68% · 12% · 20%
Machine-learning39% · 54% · 8%

AI match preview

Roma enter this Serie A clash with Cremonese as clear favorites, holding a 64% chance of victory according to model projections, with an expected 1.42 goals scored to just 0.46 conceded. The most probable outcome is a narrow 1-0 home win, while the likelihood of both teams scoring or the match exceeding 2.5 goals remains relatively low at 29%. These figures reflect statistical probabilities and should be used responsibly when considering any betting decisions (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.42 – 0.46

Most likely score

1-0

20% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 29%

No 71%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Roma 3–0 Cremonese
Nov 2025 Cremonese 1–3 Roma