Sassuolo vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 1 Mar, 14:00
Sassuolo
21 Full time
Atalanta
Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (44%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 30%
Draw 26%
Away 44%

💡 Atalanta have a slight edge — leaning Atalanta, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 47.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1496 v 1581 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index WWLWW v WDWWW Sassuolo 2.4 · Atalanta 2.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sassuolo v Atalanta

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1581 vs 1496).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Sassuolo

Green = favours Sassuolo · Blue = favours Atalanta. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SassuoloWWLWW2.4 ppg
AtalantaWDWWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Sassuolo1496
Atalanta1581
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model23% · 30% · 47%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning36% · 15% · 50%

AI match preview

Sassuolo face Atalanta in a Serie A clash where the visitors hold a 44% chance of victory, slightly edging out a home win or draw. With expected goals favoring Atalanta at 1.42 to Sassuolo’s 0.91, a tight contest leading to a 1-1 draw is the most probable scoreline according to the model. Fans can anticipate a moderately balanced game with under 2.5 goals likely and nearly even odds on both teams scoring; remember these projections are statistical estimates and gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.91 – 1.42

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Sassuolo 2–1 Atalanta
Nov 2025 Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo