Roma vs Juventus Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 1 Mar, 19:45
Roma
33 Full time
Juventus
Roma 3–3 Juventus

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (39%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 39%
Draw 29%
Away 32%

💡 Roma have a slight edge — leaning Roma, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 40.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 40.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1588 v 1577 Roma rated higher
Form Index DLWDW v WWDLL Roma 1.6 · Juventus 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1588 vs 1577).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Roma
Form Index
Roma
Goal expectation
Roma
Home advantage
Roma

Green = favours Roma · Blue = favours Juventus. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
RomaDLWDW1.6 ppg
JuventusWWDLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Roma1588
Juventus1577
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 34% · 20%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning27% · 31% · 42%

AI match preview

Roma host Juventus in a Serie A clash where the model gives the home side a slight edge with a 39% chance of victory, compared to 32% for the visitors and a 29% probability of a draw. Expected goals suggest a low-scoring encounter, with Roma projected to net 1.18 goals to Juventus's 0.69, yet the most likely scoreline is 0-0, reflecting tight defenses. With only a 29% chance of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, fans should anticipate a cautious game; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.18 – 0.69

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 29%

Under 71%

Both teams to score

Yes 36%

No 64%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadio Olimpico Rome, Italy Capacity 70,634 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Roma 3–3 Juventus
Dec 2025 Juventus 2–1 Roma