Udinese vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Mon 2 Mar, 19:45
Udinese
30 Full time
Fiorentina
Udinese 3–0 Fiorentina

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 29%
Away 36%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 36.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1452 v 1454 Fiorentina rated higher
Form Index WWLLL v LLDWW Udinese 1.2 · Fiorentina 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1452 vs 1454).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Fiorentina
Goal expectation
Udinese
Home advantage
Udinese

Green = favours Udinese · Blue = favours Fiorentina. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
UdineseWWLLL1.2 ppg
FiorentinaLLDWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Udinese1452
Fiorentina1454
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 31% · 32%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning37% · 32% · 32%

AI match preview

Udinese and Fiorentina are set for a closely contested Serie A clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Fiorentina at 36% but also highlighting a strong 29% probability for a draw. Both teams are expected to score, with an almost even expected goals tally (1.23 vs. 1.12) suggesting a tight, balanced encounter likely to finish 1-1. While the chance of over 2.5 goals stands at a moderate 42%, the near 50% BTTS probability indicates both sides could find the net; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 49%

No 51%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Udinese 3–0 Fiorentina
Dec 2025 Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese