Atalanta vs Udinese Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sat 7 Mar, 17:00
Atalanta
22 Full time
Udinese
Atalanta 2–2 Udinese

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 27%
Away 19%

💡 Atalanta are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 61.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 61.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1569 v 1468 Atalanta rated higher
Form Index DWWWL v WLLLW Atalanta 2.0 · Udinese 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Atalanta v Udinese

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Why we predict this

  • Atalanta is the stronger side on Power Rating (1569 vs 1468).
  • Atalanta is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.8 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Atalanta
Form Index
Atalanta
Goal expectation
Atalanta
Home advantage
Atalanta

Green = favours Atalanta · Blue = favours Udinese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
AtalantaDWWWL2.0 ppg
UdineseWLLLW1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Atalanta1569
Udinese1468
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model59% · 25% · 16%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning36% · 49% · 15%

AI match preview

Atalanta hold a 54% chance of securing a home win against Udinese in this Serie A clash, with the model projecting an expected goals tally favoring Atalanta at 1.84 to 0.85. Despite the home advantage, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score stand close to even at 51% and 50%, respectively; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.84 – 0.85

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gewiss Stadium Bergamo, Italy Capacity 24,950 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Atalanta 2–2 Udinese
Nov 2025 Udinese 1–0 Atalanta