Lecce vs Cremonese Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 8 Mar, 11:30
Lecce
21 Full time
Cremonese
Lecce 2–1 Cremonese

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 30%
Away 30%

💡 Lecce have a slight edge — leaning Lecce, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1419 v 1412 Lecce rated higher
Form Index LWWLL v LLDLL Lecce 1.2 · Cremonese 0.2 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Lecce v Cremonese

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1419 vs 1412).
  • Lecce is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Lecce
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Lecce

Green = favours Lecce · Blue = favours Cremonese. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LecceLWWLL1.2 ppg
CremoneseLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Lecce1419
Cremonese1412
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model31% · 37% · 32%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning41% · 24% · 35%

AI match preview

Lecce hosts Cremonese in a tightly poised Serie A clash where the model slightly favors a home win with a 41% probability, though a draw or away victory remain realistic outcomes. Both teams are expected to produce a low-scoring affair, with anticipated goals nearly equal at around 0.86 to 0.87 and the most likely scoreline pegged at 0-0. With just a 25% chance of over 2.5 goals and only 35% probability of both teams scoring, this match could hinge on a single moment of quality. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly—gamble only if you’re 18 or older.

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.86 – 0.87

Most likely score

0-0

19% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 25%

Under 75%

Both teams to score

Yes 35%

No 65%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Lecce 2–1 Cremonese
Dec 2025 Cremonese 2–0 Lecce