Fiorentina vs Parma Prediction

Serie A 25/26 · Sun 8 Mar, 14:00
Fiorentina
00 Full time
Parma
Fiorentina 0–0 Parma

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 27%
Away 24%

💡 Fiorentina are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 54.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 54.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1438 v 1469 Parma rated higher
Form Index LDWWL v LWWWD Fiorentina 1.4 · Parma 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1438 vs 1469).
  • Parma is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Parma
Form Index
Parma
Goal expectation
Fiorentina
Home advantage
Fiorentina

Green = favours Fiorentina · Blue = favours Parma. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
FiorentinaLDWWL1.4 ppg
ParmaLWWWD2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Fiorentina1438
Parma1469
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 34% · 29%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning47% · 28% · 26%

AI match preview

Fiorentina host Parma in a Serie A clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 48% chance of victory, though a draw remains a plausible 27% outcome. The model projects a closely contested match with expected goals of 1.11 for Fiorentina and 0.95 for Parma, pointing towards a likely 1-1 scoreline. With only a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance both teams score, fans can anticipate a tight, tactical encounter—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.11 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 34%

Under 66%

Both teams to score

Yes 43%

No 57%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Fiorentina 0–0 Parma
Dec 2025 Parma 1–0 Fiorentina